Let's Talk March Madness

Similar to how we can support our clients by getting decision-ready insights in their hands, our Digital Services team did the data analysis for you and found 15 teams that could win it all this year. Get your brackets out!

The past 16 Champions have all matched the following criteria:

PPG > 71.4

Opponent PPG <72

3FG% >32.9%

FT% > 69.9%

RPG > 34.6

APG > 12.2

TO < 13.2

Opponent TO > 10.6

The past 16 Champions have all matched the following criteria:

PPG > 71.4

Opponent PPG <72

3FG% >32.9%

FT% > 69.9%

RPG > 34.6

APG > 12.2

TO < 13.2

Opponent TO > 10.6

Additionally, every NCAA Champion since the KenPom statistic was created 23 years ago has been Top 57 in Offensive Efficiency and Top 44 in Defensive Efficiency.

Based on stats from the past 20 NCAA champions, these 15 teams could win it all:

Update as of 04/03/2025:

Of our picks above, seven made the Sweet Sixteen (Auburn, Duke, Florida, Houston, Maryland, Tennessee, and Texas Tech). Six made the Elite Eight (Auburn, Duke, Florida, Houston, Tennessee, and Texas Tech) and four made the Final Four (Auburn, Duke, Florida, and Houston).

Duke enters the tournament as the statistical favorite, boasting KenPom dominance and favorable Vegas odds, their youth and inexperience present challenges. With an average starting age of 19.4 and a third-year head coach, Jon Scheyer, at just 37 years old, they deviate from the typical championship profile. Florida, though slightly more seasoned, also skews younger with a starting five averaging 20.4 years and a head coach, Todd Golden, who is 39 with limited head coaching experience. Auburn, despite its veteran presence, faces historical odds as only six No. 1 overall seeds have won the championship since 1985.

Our Digital Services team’s bold take is that Houston epitomizes the traditional championship formula.

Their starting lineup, composed entirely of sophomores and above, averages 21 years—the closest of the Final Four teams to the historical norm of 21.8 years. Adding to their advantage, head coach Kelvin Sampson brings 46 years of coaching experience across college and professional levels. With a veteran roster on the court and seasoned guidance on the sideline, Houston stands as the team most aligned with what history has shown to be the winning recipe.

Will our data continue its winning streak? Check back on April 8th to find out!

Transform Your Data into Insights

Discover how our Digital Services can help you make informed decisions (outside of your tournament brackets!).

Digital Advisory: Compass Over Map

We'll evaluate your operations and develop strategic roadmaps to optimize costs, manage change, and align with your organizational goals, mitigating inefficiencies and outdated platforms.

ERP Implementation: Modernizing Processes

Our ERP implementation team collaborates with you in transforming your business operations, transferring your data and training your workforce to enable optimal performance.

Data Analytics: Multiple Systems, Unified Data

We'll unlock significant value by enhancing your data-driven decision making through near-real-time insights and improved efficiencies, allowing you to adapt quickly to changing conditions.

Cybersecurity: Operate with Confidence in a Digital World

We offer customized cybersecurity assessments to protect your organization against digital threats and provide a fractional CISO to establish a robust IT security framework within your organization.

AI Strategy: Artificial Intelligence, at Your Pace

Our professionals can help you uncover AI opportunities that align with your unique requirements, identifying ways to increase internal productivity and customer engagement.